The curve is huge, I'm getting a little scared. How are you holding up?

[Tx33_averageJoe]

Fed guideline I saw on one of the local news sites indicated elder and at risk shelter, everyone work remotely, and avoid crowded places like bars and restaurants. Without having taken time to find and actually read it to confirm language, seems like most local orders taking it a step or 2 further.

Having said that, I also saw that Dr. Fauci indicated the USA will certainly have 100,000 deaths and potentially 200,000.

Correct Ben, Fed guidelines only give social distancing, hand washing and avoid large groups. Same as it was 2 weeks ago so status quo. Based on this the states can do their own. No reason to think they will relax any with the new numbers.

[Ben Rhimene]

Based on this the states can do their own. No reason to think they will relax any with the new numbers.

THAT is where I struggle. 526 in Harris County with 3 deaths.

Global new case rate was 59.4k or DOWN from 8k from previous day. The heat map looks BAD in the north and Pacific coast, along with NOLA and Miami/Broward. Not so bad here. So what SHOULD the answer be?

[Tx33_averageJoe]

THAT is where I struggle. 526 in Harris County with 3 deaths.

Global new case rate was 59.4k or DOWN from 8k from previous day. The heat map looks BAD in the north and Pacific coast, along with NOLA and Miami/Broward. Not so bad here. So what SHOULD the answer be?

They are waiting for the peak. Testing is just getting ramped up too. Some are asymptomatic and spreading it around (This I think is where the real unknown lies). Basically if there is community spread identified you can triple or at least double the infected numbers and until testing gets to the point of prophylactic then we will have restrictions. States just don't have enough testing numbers to see really how bad it is.

[Ben Rhimene]

80.6 thousand new confirmed cases yesterday. We just cannot get our shit together like China did. Not saying I want that sort of society, but there ARE times it is more effective.

[chloevankatie]

Does anyone know if there is a chart of the curve here in Texas?

You know, a chart similar to one like this, but shows the progression in Texas?


Attachment 520197

[chloevankatie]

I found this one...

Attachment 520199

[Ben Rhimene]

I have looked but haven't found one.

I did find one that projected how bad it would if we kept as is, versus California style, versus China style. Totally suggests we do China-style lockdown.

[Ben Rhimene]

I found this one...

Great find! Just wish it looked further out.

[chloevankatie]

I found this handy link at the New York Times that has all kinds of fun graphs and info and even has links to all the States

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...rus-cases.html

You can easily see how Texas compares to New York.

[Ben Rhimene]

You can easily see how Texas compares to New York.

Lived there for years...Texas does not compare to New York...

[chloevankatie]

Lived there for years...Texas does not compare to New York...

LOL I mean as far as the cases go

[mathguy]

Lived there for years...Texas does not compare to New York...

I think Chloe meant in terms of the growth rate, but I'm assuming you were being funny

However, I respectfully disagree with the growth rate. Take a look at that NY Times interactive map/chart link.

Travis county now has the slowest rate of growth on the entire graphs "growth rate key bar".

Harris still has high rates.

Texas overall though is now finally at a lower rate of growth as a whole. Per that link anyway (https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/...rus-cases.html.

I have not verified or validated the source data for that chart (just took a quick eyeball look).

[Ben Rhimene]

I think Chloe meant in terms of the growth rate, but I'm assuming you were being funny

I never try to be funny...just turns out that way at times...

[Ben Rhimene]

I did notice, cuz I play with CVK's tools, that Harris County doing better than most on per capita basis.

Which makes me question the policy...

[The1Slayer]

Heh............. I was a Broker for Pain Webber back in the day................... Probably, only the old school peeps will know that firm. I was hired for my instincts in investing.................. Let's juts say, I will say .......


Stay in the game........... long term.