Bwaaa oh please
I grew up swimming in a "crick" or creek lol
That now has "watch for alligator s" signs posted, picked dew berries in snake infested thick trails typical day to pass time.
I say live/enjoy life and stop being so scary.
Bwaaa oh please
I grew up swimming in a "crick" or creek lol
That now has "watch for alligator s" signs posted, picked dew berries in snake infested thick trails typical day to pass time.
I say live/enjoy life and stop being so scary.
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For those saying the numbers are "inflated" and a hoax, there are 2 things to keep in mind. There is no vaccine for the people most at risk, and it's not about you. Go on with your life and you may, unknowingly, infect people who are at risk. Your parents, if you are old enough, your grandparents, or the niece or nephew which could lead to the death of a family member. I'm not livin on lockdown, but I'm lookin out for my fellow man and woman, particularly, my fellow hobbyists. This is a team game. Let's not be flippant with this, just be sensible and keep others in mind. Just my 2 cents.
^^^^ For sure
That's an every day & always situation.
Definitely stay cautious & aware
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I totally agree. Thanks for your valuable insights.
And I am thankful for a free press, another constitutionally protected right just like the right to bear arms. We could be, after all, the victims of a government that denies and hides such information from the public, the potential victims of a pandemic.
Plan for the worst and hope for the best.
James
Loving life in Austin
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As the unforseen disrupts life....Reflection time
BFE, Aspiring Stay At Home Hobbyist, Initiator Of Pleasurable Stimuli
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Thats what i was thinking dnaghu. 21 out of 400 is a very high number. I totally forgot how to calculate percentages.
Being in the industry I am in, I got word that OTC may be cancelled also especially since it was held at NRG.
I know this will affect our Lovelies on here as that was a good source of income................
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I addressed why that's happening in another post already.
That rate is no longer valid either. It's now 36 deaths out of 1215 cases or 2.9% US mortality rate.
CDC Daily US Numbers Source
That number will continue dropping (the mortality rate). The reason is like I said before, it's b/c there are so many unaccounted for not included in the total as they already had it and are now over it, or we think it's another rhinovirus, or they are not symptomatic. When a death occurs though that's pretty fucking obvious & gets reported but there could be tens of thousands of others who are just going about their lives, actively have it, treat it as a cold, get over it, and/or pass it on to others further increasing the infected numbers (but again many many of those are not being reported and accounted for).
See how the number of cases is climbing faster than the rate of deaths reported? That's normal. That's a statistical anomaly that occurs with virtually any pathogenic outbreak (viral or bacterial). Particularly when we don't know much about it, it mirrors a common cold, and swaths of people already had it, passed it on, are clear now, and swaths more just don't know they have it yet.
Take Germany for example. The Chancellor said as many as 70% of the population could have it in the worst case. Yes, but obviously very few are dying.
Even right now Germany is at 2000+ cases but 5 deaths. That's a .25% or .0025 death rate.
And if Germany actually had 70% of the population infected but only these 5 deaths?
Germany population = 83.25Million. At 5 deaths currently that's 5 / (83.25Mn * .7) = ~.000000085 or .0000085% death rate.
The current mortality rates are pretty useless until we get better reporting , identifying, and testing. However, it's pretty obvious that it's working just like most common colds. Which is exactly what it is, very similar to a rhinovirus, affecting the sinuses and upper respiratory system.
Point is the media really is going overboard with how "deadly" or "horrible" this thing is. They are. It's so obvious thats hundreds of thousands of cases are unknown around the world (take the Germany example above where they speculate up to 60-70% of their pop in worst case) yet the deaths are not wracking up that rate. Not anywhere close to that kind of rate. That's why the death rate is going to fall DRAMATICALLY as better accounting of the virus and testing is put in place. It may not go as low as the "flu" but it's not going to remain at these localized values of .5%, 2%, 4%, 6%.... Not even close.
Edit: FIXED. Sorry I need to make a math edit for the Germany figures. I didn't take 30% off the 83.25Mn population so the percentage is a bit off. I'll fix it.
Last edited by mathguy; 03-12-2020 at 06:41 PM. Reason: Fixed error on Germany calc
-MG
Beyond pissed off. Still can't locate my damn in in impound and well... I would really enjoy a steak and a break LOL !
Yeah, I saw that. Homeschooling possibly in the future? I Look at it like this. Everyone saw how fast Chica got wiped out with this. Now it's here. Better to be safe. All the others who "Not worried" good luck and that's the type of attitude that spreads virus because they think it can never happen to them.
I always keep my place sanitary. Keep good hygiene. So If anything I am more concerned about going around others and being in danger. Especially travelers.
As they say, this too shall pass. It is a eye opener in economics though !
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"Oh You Want A Special?, I Got A 38 Special For You" ~ I.D. / Inside Joke🤭