Younger americans not at risk to dying from Covid
From the NYTimes this AM:
Tali Elfassy, an assistant professor of epidemiology at the University of Miami, said that while the case fatality rate is lower for younger people, there has recently been a huge shift in the age distribution of those getting infected — from middle-aged and older individuals, to younger adults.
“Even if the majority of people who are dying from Covid are older individuals, the fact that we have this demographic shift toward younger people becoming infected is going to give us an increase in deaths among younger people,” she said.
Further:
"Nationally, the share of all deaths that occur in younger age groups remains small — just 38 coronavirus deaths out of every 1,000 in July were attributed to younger people, but that is up from 22 per 1,000 in May."
Full article link:
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/08/11/u...gtype=Homepage
MCG presenting numbers and misstating their relevance
"Now, if you look at the data, the total number of deaths as of Aug 11th, 2020 is projected to be: 1,636,992
That is supposedly 108% (not really that much of a difference in total 8% increase) of the expected death toll by this date."
Why do you keep trying to distort? The "8% not really much of a difference" is 121,000 extra deaths, and you say the Covid-19 deaths cannot be 154,000, that is way exaggerated.
I did not read any further into your post since you have already made it invalid. Your presentation is not scientific in any way when you surmise that 121,000 extra deaths is not much of a difference.
Big Ten and Pac 12 Cancel fall football
So two out of the five Power conferences have canceled fall football, even though college football revenue is way over 1 Billion dollars. The value judgement of the colleges (and i am going to guess it is also somewhat data driven)is that the proposition to play fall football is just too risky at this time, and I would speculate that there is significant brainpower leading the institutions of higher learning(and maybe slightly less brainpower in the coaches who want to play fall football.)
In all fairness, all of the $1B+ is not going away, since a smaller schedule could be played in the spring, but since the NCAA basketball tournament is also in the spring, it seems like there would be an adjustment for the television money.
The smart money seems to be on limiting risk, and assuming the pandemic is not benign.